MWC:
5-0 Air Force -10.5 vs Wyoming (7:00, Saturday, CBS Sports)
5-1 Wyoming +10.5 @ Air Force (7:00, Saturday, CBS Sports)
4-1 UNLV -9.5 @ Nevada (5:00, Saturday, MW Network)
5-1 Fresno St -5.5 @ Utah St (8:00, Friday, CBS Sports)
SBC:
4-1 Marshall +1 @ Georgia St (7:00, Saturday, ESPN2)
4-1 Georgia Southern +4.5 @ James Madison (12:00, Saturday, ESPN2)
4-1 Georgia St -1 vs Marshall (7:00, Saturday, ESPN2)
5-0 James Madison -4.5 vs Georgia Southern (12:00, Saturday, ESPN2) (ineligible for postseason, but can still file an appeal)
Liberty has the inside track. They’ve already beaten one of the only two teams in their conference with a winning record. WKU is their only test remaining. The other conferences will start cannibalizing each other in the coming weeks.
It’ll be interesting to see how the committee handles Liberty. Yes they’re undefeated, but the schedule is absolutely abysmal, even by G5 standards. Their full season SOS is literally dead last in FBS, and it’s not close.
12-1 Miami would have 4 wins over teams better than the best opponent 13-0 Liberty would play. Right now Bowling Green is the third highest ranked opponent on their schedule. They only play one team in the top 100 all season.
Hopefully WKU pulls a repeat of what they did to Marshall in 2014 and this becomes a moot point.
Good point. Since being undefeated has seemed to be the primary factor in the past, I wonder what will happen if Liberty is the only undefeated. Also, and if that’s the case, the committee will absolutely–whether they admit it publicly or not–be taking into consideration the howls of “rELiJJuS BiGotRy!!!” should they pass them by for a one-loss team from another conference.
I think Wyoming might be the top ranked G5 if they can get by AFA this weekend. Their only loss was a competitive one at Texas and they beat Texas Tech. if not the Falcons could end up the highest ranked G5. I think Marshall could still be in the mix if they survive undefeated in the Belt. Their only loss was a close one at NC State.
They need to be a conference champ as well. USF was the closest to WMU in the pre-CFP bowl rankings in 2016, but they didn’t even win their division so it wasn’t even a discussion.
I’m not worried about Liberty at all. They were life and death with a very bad Sam Houston last week. They were life and death versus the second and third string QBs of Jax St. last night until deep into the game. Someone is going to pick them off.
Tulane is going to be huge favorites in each of their remaining games. Their one loss was a competitive game with their backup QB against a top 15 team. They’re not supposed to, but I assume the committee will also take into account their Cotton Bowl win against USC last season. Gotta think they’re in the driver’s seat, assuming Air Force probably doesn’t go undefeated.
Disagree - they are not “bad.” Their schedule is not really easy. They beat PITT and PITT beat a ranked Louisville. They played U of OK fairly well. They ALSO had some close other games.
I root for them because it helps us, but UC still sUCks!!
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