I try never to use absolutes but this is an absolutely virtually impossible pathway for Miami to get to Detroit. We had both Buffalo and BG right where we needed them and let them slip through our fingers.
Buffalo or Toledo dropping to 3 losses is just to avoid the crazy tiebreakers. We can still get in through a roll of the dice in a crazy tiebreaker. Its not likely, but right now the sites that do actual probability results say we have about a 10% chance. Not impossible, but if we take care of business, we’ll at least have a punchers chance. If we get to 6-2, they put us at 33% to be in Detroit. Anyone who plays poker knows 33% chances happen all the time (in fact 1 out of 3 times!)
The issue is even if Toledo lose to BG and OU solid chance both OU and Buffalo both have 1 loss.
I will be honest, given the games we lost, we don’t deserve to win the MAC. Not saying I am not cheering for us, but we haven’t played like MAC champs.
Losing to BG and Buffalo at home is brutal, add in UC, we should be 9-1. Sad we couldn’t make it work this year, I think we have some good talent.
They were who we thought they were. And we let em off the hook!
If Toledo beats OU and loses to BG, then we’d be tied for second with WMU, OU and Toledo. Not sure what happens then, but we would be 2-0 against those 3 teams.
Yeah but the graphic says if Toledo lose twice we’d get in which isn’t true unless OU lose a different game