If you want to make the NFL and get drafted the number say transfer up. Not only do your odds increase dramatically the immediate earning potential playing college football is still greater via NIL even if you fail in getting to the NFL.
I don’t have the count on players drafted who transferred up but either way the effect is the non P4 schools get squeezed.
29/257 picks in the 2024 NFL draft were from non P5 schools. 3-4 were drafted in the first 3 rounds
37/259 picks in the 2023 NFL draft were from non P5 schools. 5 were drafted in the first 3 rounds
78/262 picks in the 2022 NFL draft were from non P5 schools. 15 were drafted in the first 3 rounds
Ivan Pace transferred up but he still did not get drafted.
He signed with the Vikings as a free agent. Arguably, he could have done the same if he had stayed at Miami.
To transfer or not is an interesting question.
It clearly does not help if you end up not playing much as occurred with Amos, Gage, etc. Then again, if you can’t get playing time at a P4 school you are unlikely to get drafted or get to the NFL anyway.
There is a lot of research on performance that indicates that the number repetitions is the most important factor in getting better. Performance is improved even more if the reps involve stretching yourselr.
The bottom line is that unless these guys know that they will get the same number of reps at their new schools as they would at Miami they are making a mistake.
I think the NIL collective needs to bridge the gap between athletics and the school. It seems that rich Miami alumni are willing to support the school just not athletics. There needs to be a way to bridge this gap, maybe by selling products/opportunities that any alumni would enjoy regardless of their interest in sports.
The problem for most of these guys is that they have gone their whole life as the best athlete on the field. When they have success at Miami, and an SEC coach calls and says you’ll have a chance to compete for a starter spot, they assume (given their experience) that they will likely start.
Only once they are already there in camp do they realize they will be playing very little. Hard to tell a 20 year old that has been the best athlete on the field his whole life to turn down six figures and the chance to start at Oklahoma or Ole Miss to stay at Yager.
Miami is always going to lose these guys, its just not realistic to think we can keep them as they will always think they will be stars in the SEC/Big Ten. The best use of our NIL funds is going to be allocating it to sign the experienced upper classmen that are either losing their spots at power schools or had success down at FCS. The idea that we would ever be able to keep a junior All MAC type player just isn’t going to be that realistic (some will stay rarely, but by and large I doubt it)
That is not true. Boise has/had 14 players in the portal. Per 247Scout:
And this is from ON3, and as you can see Boise both has players in the portal and benefits from the portal. Same as Miami does. 2024 Boise State Football Transfer Portal
Reggie Virgil is reporting offers from Oklahoma, Pitt and Texas Tech already. I’ll be very curious to see how he and Strader do at the P4 level. As many have pointed out the big three transfers from last year saw limited playing time. John Saunders a few years ago benefited from a position change at Ole Miss, but has thrived there. Lonnie Phelps and Kam Butler both played at ton at Kansas and Virginia. We all know how Ivan Pace did.
I tend to think Virgil will do better at the next level. He has legit size, speed and hands. Strader I’m not as sure. We’ll see.
I talked to a big BSU fan recently. He believes that the NIL deal for Jeanty pays him more than the head coach or the President of the university. This in a state where the governor’s salary is $151,400 per year.
The grass may not always be greener but if these guys believe in themselves, go kick ass under brighter lights. Last year’s busts should have no impact on their decisions.
Also there is no way that Boise has 1.3 million to pay a player.
Let’s face it. We are no longer following traditional college football. This is unadulterated professional football from age 17 up. Teams are no longer recruiting primarily local student athletes who want a free education while continuing to play a game they love near their home. Few have any affinity for the college that recruits and signs them.
Kids these days, with their parents and agents, are focused largely on making bank while they are playing for one or more college programs knowing how much more exclusive the money club is moving to the NFL. Getting a degree is far down many lists as an objective. Getting a high quality degree is even further down the list.
I’d they did, Jeanty would be worth it. The school president isn’t the one getting them to the point where the program finally has a legitimate shot to a national championship (or at least the ability to control its own destiny for once).