Since Nov. 29, the RedHawks have lost just one contest and have won
16 of their last 17 games, including 13-straight. Miami’s 11-0 record in MAC play is the best
conference start in program history, surpassing the 9-0 start from the 1989-90 squad. Miami, the lone undefeated team in MAC play,last won a MAC regular season championship during the 2007-08 campaign.
UMass is 17-5 overall and are third in the MAC
standings at 9-2. The Minutewomen have won four-straight conference games and are led by Yahmani McKayle (16.6 ppg.) and Megan Olbrys (14. 2 ppg.) The RedHawks have won
the last three meetings, including a 72-60 win earlier this year on Jan. 7 in Oxford. In that
contest, five RedHawks scored in double figures, Amber Tretter had a double-double (17
points, 10 rebounds) and Tamar Singer posted 11 assists.
Game Outcome Prediction Using Analytics: The upcoming matchup is Miami (OH) at UMass on Feb 14, 2026 (MAC conference game at Mullins Center). Miami previously beat UMass 72-60 at home on Jan 7, dominating with superior efficiency (ORtg advantage) and defense.
Analytics-Driven Factors: Miami’s road performance (69 PPG scored, 55 allowed) outperforms UMass’s home defense (62.8 allowed). UMass’s home offense (68.4 PPG) faces Miami’s elite DRtg (82.0). Home-court advantage (~3-4 points) narrows the gap, but Miami’s +8.1 net rating and 13-game win streak suggest resilience. Adjusted for SOS and prior head-to-head, Miami holds a ~55-60% win probability.
Predicted Score: Miami (OH) 68, UMass 65 (close road win for Miami, total ~133 points; under typical O/U of 135-140).
Why Miami Wins: Better defensive efficiency and road form; they force more turnovers (13.5% opponent TO%) and shoot higher eFG%. UMass’s recent home loss to JMU highlights vulnerabilities against top MAC teams.
Due to dislike and disdain, I will no longer post any content generated by AI. I thought I was adding something to these game previews, but apparently I am not. Sorry.
Scalia is having a horrific game. 2 turnovers including taking her sweet ass time bringing the ball up the court and getting called for 10 seconds then a horrible pass that led to a UMASS fast break layup. Then just bad shooting. Box had no choice but to bring Singer back in with 2 fouls. Since coming in Singer has scored 4 points but this game is a clunky mess for both teams. Miami for the most part looks bad. This is shaping up to be a game like the last one, just survive. Miami 14-13 at the media timeout.
Miami down 23-18 at the half. UMASS hit 2 threes to end the half. 20 total turnovers in this game. Miami has 12 of them. And Miami only has 4 assists. This game is very difficult to watch.