I have watched all but two games this year and last night was the first ad. Maybe it my streaming service.
I get the free slot and not paying for ads.
Miami over NIU
Toledo over Ohio
Ball St over BG
EMU over Buffalo
Western over Central
Akron over Kent
I think that would do it.
I think BG and Toledo could both finish ahead of us with final week wins in this scenario since they would both have the tiebreaker over us
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According to the simulator, if next weekâs games break the way mz has it (the only upset would be BSU over BG), it seems the only way we would get bumped the last week would be if we lose to BG along with Toledo beating Akron (likely) AND Ball State beating OU (not as likely). Weâd lose out to Toledo on the 3rd tiebreaker (head-to-head). Every other final week scenario has us in the MACC with a rematch against either Toledo or BG, even if we lose at the Doyt.
But none of that scenarios matters. Just keep winning and punch your own ticket to Detroit.
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Yeah, you got to that before I did. With so many teams so close, Iâll go back to my original statement that nothing will be decided, but you can certainly improve your position.
I loved the long commercial where it gave rankings for a variety of stats about the students and school. I am pretty sure that was during football. If not it was an ESPN MU BB game I was watching.
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I just spent way too much time running all sorts of scenarios in the simulator listed above. Granted, I didnât try every possible result over the next two weeks (so maybe if Kent wins its final 2 games, perhaps that could affect the common opponent win percentage tiebreaker or something) but I ran results that seemed probable to figure out what Miami needed to do to reach the MACC if everything happens to go against us.
If we go 0-2, weâre not in the MACC, weâre 6-6, and weâre trying to figure out which mediocre teams need to lose on the Saturday after Thanksgiving to make sure we donât get squeezed out of a bowl game.
If we go 2-0, we win the regular season conference title and weâre choosing which jerseys weâre going to wear in Detroit.
If we go 1-1, it really depends which game we win, because in terms of a MACC berth, it seems the NIU is game is⊠sort of irrelevant.
Now the NIU game isnât irrelevant for numerous reasons (you want to secure a winning season, you want to win the regular season conference crown, you want to improve your bowl rĂ©sumĂ©, you want to send the seniors out with a win in their last home game, theyâre keeping score⊠so of course you want to win, etc.) but in terms of clinching a spot in Detroit, it seems that no matter what happens Tuesday, it still comes down to the Black Friday game at BG.
The big key is that Toledo hosts Ohio on Tuesday. Right now, we lead UT by a game but they hold the head-to-head tiebreaker over us. Weâre currently tied with OU but we own the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Bobcats. Either OU loses and drops to 5-2 or UT loses and drops to 4-3. Either way, the loser wonât pass Miami as long as we go at least 1-1. But the winner of OU/UT could still jump over Miami if we split the final two games.
If we beat NIU and BG beats BSU, the standings heading into the final week would be:
- Miami (6-1)
- BG (6-1)
- UT (5-2) or OU (6-1)
UT and OU would be favored in their regular season finales, so the OU/UT winner would jump Miami if we lose to BG, even if we had already defeated NIU.
If we lose to NIU, the standings heading into the final week would be:
- BG (6-1)
- UT (5-2) or OU (6-1)
- Miami (5-2)
In that scenario, we might not catch the OU/UT winner for the #1 spot but we could still jump from #3 to no worse than #2 by beating BG and taking that spot.
Again, this is all hypothetical and things could get screwy if say BSU ends up beating BG or OU (or both) in the final two weeks. But barring pure chaos, the standings and tiebreakers donât really seem to care whether we beat NIU.
That said⊠BEAT NIU.
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So, in regards past if you were in the MACC, you obviously would be crowned divisional c
Champions (East for us). Now, with divisional play gone for purposes of making the MACC, what do you put in the rafters on your pennant if you do? MACC participant? MAC Championship finalist??
I admire both NIU and BG. Both have excellent players and some very impressive results. Show me we got what it takes to finish 4-0 and I am beyond happy because hoops is back, capable of doing serious damage if we keep grinding, and hockey will be top 20 in less than 2 years. I think our football team can still be very special. If everyone steps up, this could be epic.
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I like this post a lot; we really need to win both games though for all the reasons you listed. There is one thing your research does not count in though. If we drop to a 2 loss MAC team, right now WM and UB are 2 loss teams and either or both could win two more and figure in the tie. We did not play either, but other teams in the tie did. I am not sure how that works out.
What I want to see is Miami and Ohio both win the last two games. We have a two way tie for first, and we win a simple tiebreaker, we beat OU. So regular season MAC champs, and we would play OU in Detroit.
I had UB and WMU win both in all of the scenarios (to make it as clustered as possible) and it doesnât seem either one can jump a 6-2 Miami. They donât figure into the top of the standings cluster unless we go 0-2.
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âFirst Loserâ
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Win out we are going to detriot
Not MAC yet but UMass up 20-7 at halftime against LoLiberty.
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Liberty is the biggest fraud of this generation. Maybe this is why they donât play anyone worth a damn.
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Itâs not 100%, but it certainly feels like UT/OU and Miami/BG are defacto MAC semifinal games.
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The UMass kicker missed a 43-yarder to win it. The game is heading to OT.
And he missed the extra point in OT
Lol never change, UMass.
Liberty wins, 35-34.
A good team doesnât beat UMass by one in OTâŠ
A good team beats UMass by three in OT.
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